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- Omid Ghanbarihar citeretfor 7 måneder siden
Because you have more important things to focus on when things go right, but it makes an impression when the lady in front of you with a single item in her cart decides to argue about why her chicken is priced at $1.50 a pound when she is certain the sign at the meat counter said $1.49. - Omid Ghanbarihar citeretfor 7 måneder sidenIn each case, even though the latter is less probable than the former, it may sound more likely. Or as Kahneman and Tversky put it, “A good story is often less probable than a less satisfactory…[explanation].”
- Omid Ghanbarihar citeretfor 7 måneder sidenIf the details we are given fit our mental picture of something, then the more details in a scenario, the more real it seems and hence the more probable we consider it to be—even though any act of adding less-than-certain details to a conjecture makes the conjecture less probable.
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